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Guide to Using @RISK : Risk Analysis and Simulation Add-In for Microsoft® Excel [printed text] / Palisade Corporation, Author . - New York [USA] : Palisade Corporation, 2010 . - X, 693 p. : ill. ; A4.
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Version 5.7
Languages : English (eng)
Descriptors: Classification
QA 76.755 - Computer Software. Handbook
Indexation
@RISK ; Excel (Microsoft) ; Handbooks ; Risk Assessment ; SoftwareContents note: Chapter 1: Getting Started 1 -- Introduction 3 -- Installation Instructions 7 -- Software Activation 9 -- Quick Start 13 -- Chapter 2: An Overview of Risk Analysis 17 -- Introduction 19 -- What Is Risk? 21 -- What Is Risk Analysis? 25 -- Developing an @RISK Model 27 -- Analyzing a Model with Simulation 29 -- Making a Decision: Interpreting the Results 31 -- What Risk Analysis Can (Cannot) Do 35 -- Chapter 3: Upgrade Guide 37 -- Introduction 39 -- New @RISK Toolbars, Icons and Commands 41 -- Building an @RISK Model 45 -- Simulation Settings 65 -- Running Simulations 69 -- Reviewing Simulation Results Graphically 71 -- Reports on Simulation Results 81 -- Saving Simulations 87 -- @RISK Library 89 -- Chapter 4: Getting to Know @RISK 91 -- A Quick Overview of @RISK 93 -- Setting Up and Simulating an @RISK Model 105 -- Chapter 5: @RISK Modeling Techniques 137 -- Introduction 139 -- Modeling Interest Rates and Other Trends 141 -- Projecting Known Values into the Future 143 -- Modeling Uncertain or “Chance” Events 145 -- Oil Wells and Insurance Claims 147 -- Adding Uncertainty Around a Fixed Trend 149 -- Dependency Relationships 151 -- Sensitivity Simulation 153 -- Simulating a New Product 155 -- Finding Value at Risk (VAR) of a Portfolio 165 -- Simulating the NCAA Tournament 169 -- Chapter 6: Distribution Fitting 173 -- Overview 175 -- Define Input Data 177 -- Select Distributions to Fit 181 -- Run the Fit 183 -- Interpret the Results 187 -- Using the Results of a Fit 195 -- Chapter 7: @RISK Reference Guide 197 -- Introduction 205 -- Reference: @RISK Icons 207 -- Reference: @RISK Commands 217 -- Introduction 217 -- Model Commands 219 -- Distribution Fitting Commands 275 -- Distribution Artist Commands 295 -- Settings Commands 299 -- Simulation Commands 317 -- Simulation — Advanced Analyses Commands 319 -- Goal Seek 321 -- Stress Analysis 329 -- Advanced Sensitivity Analysis 343 -- Results Commands 359 -- Excel Reports Command 385 -- Swap @RISK Functions Command 387 -- Utilities Commands 395 -- Saving and Opening @RISK Simulations 403 -- Library Commands 405 -- Help Commands 407 -- Reference: @RISK Graphs 409 -- Reference: @RISK Functions 443 -- Introduction 443 -- Table of Available Functions 455 -- Reference: Distribution Functions 467 -- Reference: Distribution Property Functions 583 -- Reference: Output Functions 599 -- Reference: Statistics Functions 601 -- Reference: Six Sigma Functions 613 -- Reference: Supplemental Functions 625 -- Reference: Graphing Function 627 -- Reference: @RISK Library 629 -- Introduction 629 -- Distributions in the @RISK Library 631 -- Results in the @RISK Library 637 -- Technical Notes 643 -- Reference: @RISK for Excel Developers Kit (XDK) 646 -- Appendix A: Sampling Methods 647 -- What is Sampling? 647 -- Appendix B: Using @RISK With Other DecisionTools® 653 -- The DecisionTools Suite 653 -- Palisade’s DecisionTools Case Study 654 -- Introduction to TopRank® 657 -- Using @RISK with TopRank 661 -- Introduction to PrecisionTree™ 665 -- Using @RISK with PrecisionTree 669 -- Appendix C: Glossary 673 -- Glossary of Terms 673 -- Appendix D: Recommended Readings 679 -- Readings by Category 679 Link for e-copy: http://www.palisade.com/downloads/pdf/PalisadeRISKSixSigma_en.pdf Format of e-copy: PDF [Open Access] (12,5 MB) Record link: https://kce.docressources.info/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=2757 @Risk / Palisade Corporation / New York [USA] : Palisade Corporation (2006)
@Risk = Risk Analysis an Simulation Add-In for Microsoft Excel : Guide to using, version 4.5 (Nov. 2005) [printed text] / Palisade Corporation, Author . - New York [USA] : Palisade Corporation, 2006 . - x, 508 p.
Languages : English (eng)
Descriptors: Classification
QA 76.755 - Computer Software. Handbook
Indexation
@RISK ; Excel (Microsoft) ; Handbooks ; Risk Assessment ; SoftwareAbstract: @RISK Shows You Many Possible Outcomes
@RISK uses Monte Carlo simulation to show you many possible outcomes in your Microsoft Excel spreadsheet – and tells you how likely they are to occur. This means that you finally have, if not perfect information, the most complete picture possible. You can judge which risks to take and which ones to avoid. While no software package can predict the future, @RISK can help you choose the best strategy based on the available information. That’s not a bad guarantee!
The power of Monte Carlo simulation lies in the picture of possible outcomes it creates. Simply by running a simulation, @RISK takes your spreadsheet model from representing just one possible outcome to representing thousands. With @RISK, you can answer questions like, “What is the probability of profit exceeding $10,000,000?” or “What are the chances of losing money on this venture?”
Define Uncertainty with Ease
Replace uncertain values in your spreadsheet with @RISK probability distribution functions. You’ve probably heard of some of these, such as normal (“bell curve”), uniform, and triangular distributions. Choosing which @RISK distribution function to use is easy. @RISK comes with a distribution viewer that lets you preview various distributions before selecting them. You can even set up your distributions using percentiles as well as standard parameters. Furthermore, you can use your own historical data and @RISK’s integrated data fitting tool to select the best function and the right parameters.
Present Results with Stunning Graphs
@RISK provides a wide range of graphs for interpreting and presenting your results to others. Histograms and cumulative curves show the probability of different outcomes occurring. Use overlay graphs to compare multiple results, and summary graphs to see risk over time. Right-click menus and handy toolbars make navigation a snap. You can also generate a one-page, ready-to-print Quick Report of statistical results and graphs!
Identify the Most Important Tasks
@RISK provides you with Sensitivity and Scenario Analyses to determine the critical factors in your models. Use Sensitivity Analysis to rank the distribution functions in your model according to the impact they have on your outputs. See the results clearly with an easy-to-interpret Tornado diagram, then take appropriate management action.Record link: https://kce.docressources.info/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=846 Hold
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Barcode Call number Media type Location Section Status 10273-00754 QA 73.755/@RI Book KCE Library (10.124) Available 10273-01191 QA 73.755/@RI Book KCE Library (10.124) Available